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2022, Number 4

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Med Int Mex 2022; 38 (4)

Probability of death 24 hours after admission to the emergency department in patients with septic shock

Ríos-Jaimes F, Figueroa-Rivera M, Villarreal-Ríos E, Martínez-González L, Vargas-Daza ER, Galicia-Rodríguez L
Full text How to cite this article

Language: Spanish
References: 30
Page: 767-776
PDF size: 200.67 Kb.


Key words:

Septic shock, CO2, Emergency, Death.

ABSTRACT

Objective To identify, based on delta CO2 (ΔpCO2), the probability of death within 24 hours of admission to the emergency department in patients with septic shock.
Materials and Methods: Cases and controls nested in a cohort in patients with septic shock in the emergency department. Cases, patients who died within 24 hours of admission to the emergency department; controls, patients who did not die 24 hours after admission. The veno-arterial difference in carbon dioxide or delta CO2 (ΔpCO2) was calculated on admission to the emergency department with the formula ΔpCO2 = PvCO2-PaCO2, it was measured on a discrete scale and subsequently grouped into two categories (reference point 6). Age was measured in years, stratifying in decades and subsequently in two groups (reference point 60).
Results: The sample size was 25 cases and 55 controls. When the discrete scale delta CO2 value and the patient’s age in decades were used to estimate the probability of death in patients with septic shock seen in the emergency department, the model was significant (χ2 = 36.70, p = 0.000). The probability of death was 92.1% when the delta CO2 value was 9 and age 80 or more years.
Conclusions: The model integrated by ΔpCO2 and age predicts the probability of dying within 24 hours of admission to the emergency department in patients with septic shock.


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Med Int Mex. 2022;38