Romero-Martínez M, Téllez-Rojo SMM, Sandoval-Zárate AA, Zurita-Luna JM, Gutiérrez-Reyes JP

Language: Spanish
References: 9
Page: 337-347
PDF size: 362.34 Kb.

ABSTRACT

Objective. To determine the presence of bias on the estimation of the consumption sometime in life of alcohol, tobacco or illegal drugs and inhalable substances, and to propose a correction for this in the case it is present. Materials and methods. Mexican National Addictions Surveys (NAS) 2002, 2008, and 2011 were analyzed to compare population estimations of consumption sometime in life of tobacco, alcohol or illegal drugs and inhalable substances. A couple of alternative approaches for bias correction were developed. Results. Estimated national prevalences of consumption sometime in life of alcohol and tobacco in the NAS 2008 are not plausible. There was no evidence of bias on the consumption sometime in life of illegal drugs and inhalable substances. New estimations for tobacco and alcohol consumption sometime in life were made, which resulted in plausible values when compared to other data available. Conclusion. Future analyses regarding tobacco and alcohol using NAS 2008 data will have to rely on these newly generated data weights, that are able to reproduce the new (plausible) estimations.

REFERENCES

1. Consejo Nacional Contra las Adicciones, Instituto Nacional de Psiquiatría Ramón de la Fuente Muñiz, Dirección General de Epidemiología, Instituto Nacional de Estadística Geografía e Informática. Encuesta nacional de adicciones 2002. Aguascalientes, Ags.: INEGI, 2004.

2. Consejo Nacional Contra las Adicciones, Instituto Nacional de Psiquiatría Ramón de la Fuente Muñiz, Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Secretaría de Salud, Fundación Gonzalo Río Arronte. Encuesta nacional de adicciones 2008. Cuernavaca, México: INSP, 2009

3. Villatoro-Velázquez JA, Medina-Mora ME, Fleiz-Bautista C, Téllez-Rojo MM, Mendoza-Alvarado LR, Romero-Martínez M et al. Encuesta nacional de adicciones 2011. Reporte de drogas. México: INPRFM, 2012.

4. Reynales-Shigematsu LM, Guerrero-López CM, Lazcano-Ponce E, Villatoro-Velázquez JA, Medina-Mora ME, Fleiz-Bautista C et al. Secretaría de Salud. Encuesta nacional de adicciones 2011. Reporte de tabaco. México: INPRFM, 2012.

5. Medina-Mora ME, Villatoro-Velázquez JA, Fleiz-Bautista C, Téllez-Rojo MM, Mendoza-Alvarado LR, Romero-Martínez M et al. Encuesta nacional de adicciones 2011. Reporte de alcohol. México: INPRFM, 2012.

6. Groves RM. Survey errors and surveys costs. Hoboken, New Jersey: Wiley, 1989.

7. Jeffreys WH, Berger JO. Sharpening Ockham razor on a Bayes strop. West Lafayette, EUA: Purdue University, agosto de 1991, 13 pp. Reporte técnico 91-44C.

8. Deming WE, Stephan FF. On a least squares adjustment of a sampled frequency table when the expected marginal totals are known. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 1940;11(4):427-444.

9. Glenn ND. Cohort analysis. Thousand Oaks, California: SAGE, 2005.