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2020, Number 3

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Medisur 2020; 18 (3)

A weekly analysis of cases confirmed to COVID-19 in Cuba: first 70 days

Rodríguez MMA, Avello MR, Morejón GA, Rodríguez MP, Avello RA
Full text How to cite this article

Language: Spanish
References: 11
Page: 485-491
PDF size: 331.75 Kb.


Key words:

coronavirus infections, statistical analysis, Cuba.

ABSTRACT

Foundation: COVID-19, caused by SARS-CoV2, has evolved as a pandemic that accounts for more than 1 million infections and has killed, up to now, more than 300,000 people.
Objective: to describe the weekly behavior of confirmed cases of the disease in the country, making an assessment of its incidence.
Methods: descriptive and trend analysis of the 10 weeks completed from Monday to Sunday of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Cuba from March 11 to May 17, 2020. The analysis was performed with the statistical language R.
Results: it was found that weeks 5, 6 and 7 had the highest mean of confirmed cases. In addition, it was observed that weeks 2, 3, 8 and 10 are those of greater variability. The value furthest from the mean was presented in week 8 with 74 cases on Friday and the highest values were presented between Wednesday and Saturday in 8 of the weeks studied.
Conclusion: in Cuba a flattening of the line has been achieved, which shows in a favorable scenario and where the variations given by sporadic outbreaks and with rapid control do not significantly deform this line. This justifies few variations by weeks, with a sustained trend of decreasing number of cases.


REFERENCES

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  2. Bai Y, Yao L, Wei T, et al. Presumed Asymptomatic Carrier Transmission of COVID-19. JAMA. 2020;323(14):1406-1407.

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Medisur. 2020;18