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Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública

2022, Número 5

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salud publica mex 2022; 64 (5)


Patrones espaciotemporales de la incidencia de dengue y Zika durante el brote de Zika 2015-2018 en México

Cortes-Escamilla A, Roche B, Rodríguez-López MH, López Gatell-Ramírez H, Alpuche-Aranda CM

Idioma: Ingles.
Referencias bibliográficas: 54
Paginas: 478-487
Archivo PDF: 655.38 Kb.


RESUMEN

Objetivo. Evaluar espacial y temporalmente la presencia simultánea de conglomerados de casos clínicos de dengue y Zika y su relación con el riesgo esperado de transmisión del dengue. Material y métodos. Se realizó una clasificación de la transmisión del riesgo de dengue para todo el país y un análisis de autocorrelación espacial para identificar conglomerados de casos clínicos confirmados de dengue y Zika entre 2015 a 2018, utilizando el Índice de Moran. Resultados. Al inicio del brote se identificaron conglomerados de ambas enfermedades en municipios de alto riesgo de transmisión de dengue, sin embargo, al final del brote, los grupos de Zika se produjeron en municipios de bajo riesgo de transmisión de dengue. Conclusión. En este estudio se identificaron conglomerados de Zika en áreas de bajo riesgo de dengue, lo que sugiere la participación de múltiples factores que favorecen la introducción y diseminación del virus, como las diferencias en la entomología y el control y la posibilidad de inmunidad cruzada en la población.


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